Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.081000 0.093927 0.108053 0.124609 0.143453 0.164204 0.188759
2025-01-19 0.060195 0.077015 0.097055 0.122578 0.154101 0.191629 0.239551
2025-01-26 0.049802 0.069414 0.094586 0.128999 0.174513 0.232304 0.310836
2025-02-02 0.042063 0.063288 0.092391 0.134720 0.194121 0.273811 0.387952
2025-02-09 0.033423 0.054063 0.084176 0.130569 0.199311 0.296264 0.441870
2025-02-16 0.027676 0.047831 0.078936 0.129405 0.207893 0.323581 0.504668
2025-02-23 0.022731 0.041839 0.072944 0.125918 0.212087 0.344357 0.559386
2025-03-02 0.018989 0.037093 0.068071 0.123261 0.216827 0.365882 0.616670
2025-03-09 0.016614 0.034272 0.065893 0.124568 0.227804 0.397785 0.692615
2025-03-16 0.013947 0.030403 0.061251 0.120871 0.229702 0.414821 0.745625
2025-03-23 0.012904 0.029492 0.061821 0.126490 0.248240 0.461036 0.850823
2025-03-30 0.011517 0.027620 0.060270 0.127883 0.259174 0.494936 0.937512
2025-04-06 0.009823 0.024825 0.056573 0.124810 0.261767 0.514868 1.002474
2025-04-13 0.008513 0.022640 0.053795 0.123193 0.266936 0.539903 1.078800
2025-04-20 0.008043 0.022334 0.054966 0.129864 0.289118 0.598436 1.221543
2025-04-27 0.007550 0.021876 0.055729 0.135736 0.310246 0.656675 1.368257
2025-05-04 0.006454 0.019666 0.052159 0.131612 0.310104 0.673461 1.436663
2025-05-11 0.005691 0.018174 0.050044 0.130468 0.316117 0.702843 1.531847
2025-05-18 0.004907 0.016457 0.047099 0.126968 0.316519 0.720718 1.605223
2025-05-25 0.004272 0.015026 0.044646 0.124298 0.318430 0.741750 1.686450
2025-06-01 0.003890 0.014277 0.043854 0.125619 0.329624 0.783272 1.813152
2025-06-08 0.003357 0.012930 0.041226 0.121895 0.328465 0.797866 1.883810
2025-06-15 0.003218 0.012851 0.042133 0.127558 0.350569 0.865510 2.073514